Market insights and analysis

How dynamic, risk-managed investment solutions are performing in the current market environment

2nd Quarter | 2022

Market insights and analysis

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Updates on how dynamic, risk-managed investment solutions are performing in the current market environment.

Is your portfolio ready for takeoff?

Before the pandemic, we used to invite financial advisers to visit our home office. These visits let us get to know advisers better and allowed advisers to meet the people who make good things happen behind the scenes when they engage us as a third-party money manager for their investor clients.

Kudos to financial advisers—and their clients

I wrote an article before Thanksgiving that, in part, praised the efforts of frontline medical workers, first responders, teachers, and others for their efforts during the 2020 pandemic. We all remain thankful for their outstanding efforts this year. Additionally, our thoughts go out to all who have had medical, employment, or financial issues during this crisis, especially as we come up to the holiday season.

And yet the virus caught me

I guess it is becoming increasingly common to have someone say, “I caught the virus.” Well, I tested positive on November 28. But I don’t feel like I caught the virus. I feel like it caught me. After all, I didn’t run after the virus—I tried to evade it.

The major stock market indexes were mostly up this week, responding to positive news about the development of a COVID-19 vaccine.

The major stock market indexes finished to the downside last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 6.5%, the S&P 500 Index fell 5.6%, the NASDAQ Composite slipped 5.5%, and the Russell 2000 small-capitalization index lost ground at a 6.2% rate. The 10-year Treasury bond yield rose 3 basis points, causing Treasury bonds generally to fall. Last week, spot gold closed lower at $1,878.81, down $23.24 per ounce, or 1.2%.

This year has been somewhat like a master class, or real-time laboratory, in illustrating some classic concepts of behavioral finance in a compressed time frame. Think about it.

The major indexes posted mixed performance last week. The S&P 500 gained 1.25%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.29%, the NASDAQ lost 1.08%, and the Russell 2000 small-capitalization index gained 3.57%. The 10-year Treasury bond yield fell 1 basis point to 0.63% as Treasury bonds rose slightly for the week. Last week, spot gold closed at $1,810, up 0.65%. Optimism about the coronavirus vaccine and positive economic data were the primary drivers behind investors’ short-term decision-making last week.

After breaking through the resistance line established over the previous four weeks, gold prices retraced to the same line extension, which has now become a support line (see the following chart). Gold finished the week at $1,735.59, still in an uptrend on the daily chart.

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I don’t know whether you are in a state that is beginning to get out from under a stay-at-home order or if you are, like us here in Michigan, still very much in the shelter-in-place mode. But one thing I am certain of—you want to get out of the house and do something. Anything!

Gold prices had been building a base of support around $1,700 per ounce for several weeks. Last week, prices began to break out from that base of support (see the following chart). Prices moved up steadily, closing at their weekly high of $1,756.30 per ounce.