Market insights and analysis

How dynamic, risk-managed investment solutions are performing in the current market environment

3rd Quarter | 2020

Market insights and analysis

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Updates on how dynamic, risk-managed investment solutions are performing in the current market environment.

U.S. equity markets posted gains in all three indexes last week. The NASDAQ Composite gained 4.56%, the S&P 500 gained 3.84%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 3.27%. All 11 sectors were up last week; Materials, which posted the largest gain, was up by 5.12%. Five of the eight Quantified Funds were up last week: The Quantified STF Fund (QSTFX) was up by 8.79%, the Quantified Market Leaders Fund (QMLFX) was up by 5.83%, the Quantified Common Ground Fund (QCGDX) gained 5.67%, the Quantified Alternative Investment Fund (QALTX) was up by 2.43%, the Quantified Evolution Plus Fund (QEVOX) gained 2.13%, the Quantified Pattern Recognition Fund (QSPMX) remained neutral, the Quantified Tactical Fixed Income Fund (QFITX) was down 0.27%, and the Quantified Managed Income Fund (QBDSX) was down 0.34%.

The Market Environment Indicator (MEI) remained bullish last week. Equity asset-class allocations in the Quantified Market Leaders Fund were at the following: Emerging Markets (22.70%), Small-Cap Growth (15.14%), Mid-Cap Growth (7.56%), and Large-Cap Growth (6.98%). Total sector ETF weightings changed to 56.76%, holding equal exposures in Basic Materials, Electronics, and Retail. The individual ETF positions with the leading portfolio weightings were the iShares-MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM, 22.70%), the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX, 18.92%), and the Materials Select SPDR ETF (XLB, 18.91%). Total cash remained at 7.00%.

Within the Quantified Alternative Investment Fund (QALTX), the Long/Short Market Neutral Alternative subportfolio made no major changes last week. There were a few changes among the largest positions: Allocation to the First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN, 1.63%) increased, while allocation to the BNY Mellon-Dynamic Total Return Fund (AVGRX, 1.05%) decreased. Last week, the funds were up 5.73% and 1.20%, respectively.

The cash level within the Alternative Fund decreased to 26.51% last week. The daily trading of S&P 500 Index futures with 10% fund capital allocation remained neutral for the week. The 7.50% capital allocation of the volatility-based systematic trading of NASDAQ 100 Index futures started the week at 5% net long, decreased to 3% net long on Monday’s close, increased to 4% net long on Thursday’s close, and remained there through Friday’s close.

The Self-adjusting Trend Following strategy started and ended the week with 200% exposure to the NASDAQ 100 Index (NDX). The Quantified STF Fund (QSTFX) was up 8.79% for the week, compared to a gain of 4.18% on the NASDAQ 100 Index (NDX) and a gain of 4.15% for the Rydex Series NASDAQ 100 Fund (RYHOX), a current potential holding of the STF strategy.

The Quantified Managed Income Fund’s (QBDSX) two leading broad-bond index ETF holdings are the iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY, 33.61%) and the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT, 12.60%). Last week, the funds were down 0.05% and 1.63%, respectively. Cash changed to 11%.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed the week down 1.20%. The 12% active portfolio exposure to 30-year U.S. Treasury bond futures in the Fund started the week at 0.50% net long, decreased to net neutral on Monday’s close, increased to 5.50% net long on Thursday’s close, and remained there through the end of the week. The S&P E-mini Futures were 6.50% net short throughout last week.

The Quantified Pattern Recognition Fund (QSPMX) started and finished the week with 0% exposure to the market.

The Quantified Tactical Fixed Income Fund (QFITX) started the week with an allocation of 14% in RYHBX and 86% in MPIXX. On Monday, it changed allocations to 7% in RYHBX and 93% in MPIXX. On Tuesday, it changed allocations to 36% in RYHJX, 44% in MPIXX, and 20% in DXHYX. On Thursday, it changed allocations to 51% in RYHBX, 29% in MPIXX, and 20% in DXHYX.

The allocation of the Quantified Evolution Plus Fund (QEVOX) changed to the following: 58% in gold, 21% in long-term Treasurys, 8% in the S&P, 7% in the NASDAQ, and 6% in emerging markets.

The cash exposure in the Quantified Common Ground Fund (QCGDX) remained at 2.50%. The Fund’s largest allocations were to West Pharmaceutical Services Inc. (WST, 8.04%) and Nvidia Corp. (NVDA, 6.67%). Last week, the stocks were up 8.92% and 5.36%, respectively.

 

Total Return

Fund (Inception) Symbol Qtr Ending (9/30/20) YTD Ending (9/30/20) 1 Year Ending (9/30/20) 3 Year Ending* (9/30/20) 5 Year Ending* (9/30/20) Since* Inception Ending (9/30/20) Annual Expense Ratio
The Gold Bullion Strategy Fund (7/5/13) QGLDX 3.79% 19.02% 21.90% 10.47% 8.46% 3.75% 1.51%
Quantified Managed Income Fund (8/9/13) QBDSX (0.89%) (8.57%) (7.73%) (0.45%) 1.63% 0.97% 1.68%
Quantified Market Leaders Fund (8/9/13) QMLFX 7.62% 12.52% 29.19% 9.05% 10.76% 7.98% 1.73%
Quantified Alternative Investment Fund (8/9/13) QALTX 4.87% (8.78%) (3.97%) (1.36%) 1.19% 1.21% 2.06%
Quantified STF Fund (11/13/15) QSTFX 20.53% 52.79% 82.39% 23.26% N/A 19.05% 1.70%
Quantified Common Ground Fund (12/27/19) QCGDX 5.98% (0.80%) N/A N/A N/A (0.70%) 1.77%
Quantified Evolution Plus Fund
(9/30/19)
QEVOX 0.11% (8.99%) (10.77%) N/A N/A (10.77%) 1.77%
Quantified Pattern Recognition Fund (8/30/19) QSPMX (0.67%) (2.98%) (5.33%) N/A N/A 7.49% 1.77%
Quantified Tactical Fixed Income Fund (9/13/19) QFITX 1.00% 11.49% 10.53% N/A N/A 12.32% 1.77%

* Performance for periods of greater than one year are annualized.

As of the most recent prospectus, the expense ratios for the Gold Bullion Strategy Fund are as follows: Investors’ Class (No Load), 1.51%; Class A, 1.51%; Class C, 2.10%. The maximum sales charge imposed on Class A share purchases (as percentage of offering price) is 5.75%. An additional 2% redemption fee applies to all share classes, including Investors’ Class, when shares are redeemed within 7 days of purchase.

The performance data quoted represents past performance; past performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate and an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance data quoted. To obtain performance data current to the most recent month-end please call 1-855-647-8268.

Risks associated with the Quantified Funds include active frequent trading risk, aggressive investment techniques, small and mid-cap companies risk, counter party risk, depository receipt risk, derivatives risk, equity securities risk, foreign securities risk, holding cash risk, limited history of operations risk, lower quality debt securities risk, convertible bond risk, non-diversification risk, investing in other investment companies (including ETFs) risk, shorting risk, asset backed securities risk, commodity risk, credit risk, interest risk, prepayment risk, mortgage backed securities risk, hedging and leverage risk, preferred stock risk, and MLP and REIT risks. For detailed information relating to these risks, please see prospectus.

The principal risks of investing in The Gold Bullion Strategy Fund are Risks of the Sub-advisor’s Investment Strategy, Risks of Aggressive Investment Techniques, High Portfolio Turnover, Risk of Investing in Derivatives, Risks of Investing in ETFs, Risks of Investing in Other Investment Companies, Leverage Risk, Taxation Risk, Concentration Risk, Gold Risk, Wholly-owned Corporation Risk, Risk of Non-Diversification and interest rate risk. “Gold Risk” includes volatility, price fluctuations over short periods, risks associated with global monetary, economic, social and political conditions and developments, currency devaluation and revaluation and restrictions, trading and transactional restrictions.

An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of each Quantified Fund and The Gold Bullion Strategy Fund before investing. This and other information can be found in the Funds’ prospectus, which can be obtained by calling 1-855-647-8268. The prospectus should be read carefully prior to investing in The Quantified Funds or The Gold Bullion Strategy Fund.

There is no guarantee that any of the Quantified Funds or The Gold Bullion Strategy Fund will achieve their investment objectives.

Flexible Plan Investments, Ltd., serves as investment sub-advisor to The Gold Bullion Strategy and Quantified Funds. Advisors Preferred, LLC serves is the Funds’ investment advisor.



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